The lower Merced has not reported flows at all this week, making it difficult to determine current conditions. Reports from anglers suggest flows were lower than what we’ve seen in recent weeks, but with recent precipitation, there is a strong possibility that flows have increased since then.

The weather this week is expected to vary, starting off cooler with a couple days of precipitation, then gradually warming, with highs reaching into the 90s by early next week.

Fishing Conditions & Tactics

With uncertain flow conditions, flexibility will be key if you plan to fish this stretch. We recommend bringing both a euro nymphing setup and an indicator rig to adapt to whatever water levels you encounter.

If flows remain on the lower side, expect more opportunities for euro nymphing in pocket water and shorter runs. If flows have increased, indicator nymphing will likely become more effective in deeper, slower sections.

Overall Outlook

Until flows begin reporting again, conditions on the lower Merced will remain unpredictable. Anglers heading out should be prepared to adjust tactics and approach based on what they find on the water.

As always, use caution when wading—especially if flows have risen—and be prepared for changing weather conditions throughout the week.