The South Fork of the Stanislaus River is currently running at 43cfs in Strawberry and 20cfs near Fraser Flat Road, holding steady over the past week. With the storm system bringing precipitation over the next three days, expect to see a slight bump in flows as runoff begins to enter the system.

Weather Outlook

This week will bring much cooler conditions, with highs in the mid to upper 40s through the first half of the week, gradually warming to the mid-50s by the weekend. The storm system will also bring a mix of rain and potentially light snow in the higher elevations.

Tactics & Fly Recommendations

Given the cool temperatures and incoming precipitation, the most effective approaches will be euro nymphing and indicator nymphing. During low-pressure systems, fish tend to hold deeper in the water column, seeking slower, more stable water. Focus your efforts on deep, slow-moving runs where fish often concentrate in groups.

Recommended flies:

• Pheasant Tail Nymphs
• Jig Hare’s Ear Nymphs
• Fire Orange Perdigons
• San Juan Worms (excellent choice during and after precipitation)

Season Outlook

As we get our first taste of winter and transition out of the peak summer fishing season, this is still an excellent time to be on the water. The crowds have thinned, the fish are active, and the river is quiet. Just remember to dress warmly and pack rain gear—conditions can change quickly in the mountains this time of year.